Another wake up call for everyone. Let us reflect: if all nations lose, who would be a winner?

The consequences of the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict are complex and multifaceted. On the top of the consequences are isolation of the US, strategic defeat for Israel, and catastrophe for Palestine. Let’s break this down in part 1 and offer a suggestion/resources in part 2 on where each of us can focus energy to change the situation.

US Isolation:

This consequence holds significant weight and has been extensively discussed by US political scientists, retired veterans, and activists through numerous articles/lectures. The trajectory of US decline has become increasingly evident, particularly with the current administration’s unwavering support for Netanyahu’s policies. As the international community increasingly criticizes the US for its perceived biased stance, it fosters a perception of the US as uncooperative and unresponsive to global concerns. The isolation of the US can have far-reaching impacts on its relationships with other countries. It strains diplomatic ties, erodes trust, and curtails the US’s influence and ability to shape international affairs. Moreover, this isolation creates opportunities for other nations to step in and fill the void left by the US, potentially diminishing its ability to rally support or garner consensus on crucial issues. As a result, the US may find it challenging to effectively advocate for its interests on the global stage.

Strategic Defeat for Israel:

The unprecedented violence and massacres perpetrated by Israel have profound geopolitical, military, and diplomatic repercussions. Following the October 7 events, an increasing number of individuals are immersing themselves in the conflict, only to discover that Israel is an oppressor and an apartheid regime that disregards human rights. Consequently, the majority of nations now view Israel as a bully, resulting in a severely tarnished and distorted image of the country in the eyes of the global populace.

As a consequence, Israel faces diplomatic isolation, finding itself marginalized or excluded from regional and international forums and normalization. Moreover, in terms of security threats, a strategic defeat for Israel could entail heightened tensions with neighboring countries, the rise of asymmetric warfare, or the emergence of new security challenges that necessitate significant resources

If the US were to take corrective measures such as halting weapons sales and withdrawing support, Israel might potentially be compelled to adopt more moderate policies and behaviors. As noted by Daniel Levy, impunity fuels extremism within Israel. However, regardless of the outcome, it is likely that we will witness further internal divisions and erosion of national unity in Israel, which had already commenced before the events of October 7.