Free Palestine – Post #40: The Game Theory of Enduring Conflict: How Extremist Policies May Hasten Israel’s Strategic Defeat

(Highly recommend the first video in the resources)

Game theory, a mathematical model used to understand strategic interactions among rational decision-makers, can offer insights into the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, particularly when examining the actions of Zionist extremists and their potential long-term impact. In the context of this enduring conflict, game theory suggests that if one player, in this case, Israel, continues with a strategy of aggressive actions such as the occupation, destruction, and collective punishment of Palestinians, it may lead to a ‘game’ where there are no winners, only losers [[1]].

When one side adopts a strategy of extreme measures, it often prompts a cycle of retaliation and escalation, which can become a race to the bottom. Israel’s offensive actions, including the destruction of Gaza, the continued occupation of the West Bank, and policies that have been described as leading to the starvation of Palestinians, can be seen as moves in a high-stakes game where the goal is to force the other player to submit or collapse. However, these actions have significant repercussions, including the potential for international isolation and condemnation [[1]].

The strategic defeat for Israel, in this case, doesn’t necessarily mean a military defeat, but rather a moral and diplomatic one. The continued policies of what some label as oppression and apartheid have led to a growing perception of Israel as a pariah state, which could result in diplomatic isolation and a loss of support, even from traditional allies [[1]]. This isolation can be exacerbated by the internal divisions and erosion of national unity within Israel, a situation that game theory predicts as detrimental to the coherence of a player’s strategy [[3]].

Furthermore, game theory suggests that an extremist government that ignores peaceful resolutions and opts for oppressive tactics may ultimately experience a backlash not only from the international community but also from its own citizens. This has been suggested by voices such as David Hearst, who argue that Israel’s current trajectory could lead to a strategic defeat in Gaza and beyond [[2]][[4]].

The situation is further complicated by the potential for a shift in the US’s unwavering support. If the US, influenced by its own internal political dynamics or changes in the international arena, decides to halt weapons sales or withdraw support, Israel might be forced to reconsider its approach [[1]][[3]]. Such a scenario can be understood through game theory as a change in the payoff matrix, where the costs of maintaining the current strategy become unsustainable.

In conclusion, through the lens of game theory, the actions of Zionist extremists in Israel can be seen as a high-risk strategy that might secure short-term gains but potentially leads to a long-term strategic defeat. This defeat will not only be military but also moral, diplomatic, and societal, affecting the fabric of both Israeli and Palestinian communities and reshaping the geopolitical landscape of the region.

Resources:

– What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything – YouTube

– John Mearsheimer: What’s Behind Biden’s Blank Check Support for Israel? | Endgame #179 (Luminaries) – YouTube

– Why Israel faces a strategic defeat in Gaza | David Hearst – YouTube

– Mehdi Hasan Debunks 7 Israeli Myths About UNRWA – YouTube

– Ilan Pappe – how he became an Israeli dissident and on why Zionism will fail soon | UNAPOLOGETIC – YouTube

– The Zionist project is coming to an end, with Ilan Pappé – YouTube

Leave a comment